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TAJPROFESSOR: Why Flush Ace is a Double Threat   Message List  
Reply | Forward Message #365 of 393 |

>Article #4361 (4361 is last):
>From: "Qdog223" <cquinn@...>
>Newsgroups: alt.fan.john-turmel,rec.gambling.poker,
>rec.gambling.misc,alt.gambling,can.politics
>Subject: TAJPROFESSOR: End after 1000 turmel2step exercises
>Date: 23 Feb 2007 04:03:23 -0800

Please explain the demotion of draws if no ace on the board.
Qdog223

JCT: From my previously published research for 1 opponent, I
found that all 12 Ace hands are profitable while most other
hands have less than half that are playable. Playable Queen
high hands are QJ, QT, Q9, Q8, with Q7 suited and Q6 suited,
barely 5 breakeven combinations compared to the Ace's
twelve. So if people play Ace high hands twice as often as
other cards, double the chance of danger if the flush Ace is
not on the board and remains a threat. So we have to take
into account that the chance of his having the Boss Ace at
twice the normal probability.

All it really involves is assuming an extra overgap is the
Ace is missing. Seems complicated but being off just one out
can be quite a large leak so the Ace had to be accounted
for.



--
Abolitionist Slave Leader John C."The Banking Systems Engineer" Turmel
for UNILETS interest-free time-based currency in U.N. resolution C6
to Governments in the http://www.un.org/millennium/declaration.htm
http://www.cyberclass.net/turmel 519-753-0645 USENET: can.politics



Thu Mar 29, 2007 3:12 pm

johnturmel
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... Please explain the demotion of draws if no ace on the board. Qdog223 JCT: From my previously published research for 1 opponent, I found that all 12 Ace...
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johnturmel
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Mar 29, 2007
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