JCT: I've finally published my Turmel2Step Holdem Outs-Odds
System Study Course & Exercise Book of 12,000 draws at
http://www.lulu.com/johnturmel and am giving the system
away.
"Call Overlays, Fold Underlays" is the one winning strategy
in limit poker. Finding the cut point is the prime winning
tactic. Online calculators find the cut points by combining
the flush, straight and pair draws in 7-9 steps. The
Turmel2Step "in-head" calculator that comes close in only 2
steps was created by TajProfessor of Poker Systems
Engineering John "Great Canadian Gambler" Turmel.
TURMEL2STEP HOLDEM OUTS-ODDS SYSTEM
http://www.cyberclass.net/turmel/2stepsys.txt
Poker Power Tool #1
Odds: 45 22 14 10 8 7 6 5 4 3+ 3+ 3 2+ 2+ 2
Outs: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Poker Power Tool #2
Draw: 4FL 4S2 4S1 TRS PRK PR2 OC1 PRP 3FL 3ST
Turn: 9 8 4 10 5 4 3 2 0 0
Flop: 9 8 4 8 5 4 3 2 2 1
On the Turn
4F2: 2-card 4-flush = 9 Outs.
4F1: 1-card 4-flush = 9-1 outs.
4S2: 2-way straight = 8 outs.
4S1: 1-way straight = 4 outs.
SET: Pocket pair makes trips= 10 outs.
TRS: Trips (no pocket pair) = 10 outs.
PRP: Pocket Pair to hit set = 2 outs.
OC1: 1 OverCard to a pair = 3 outs
PR2: 2 Pairs for Full Hours = 4 outs.
PRK: Pair and Kicker = 5 outs.
Outside straight-flush is 15 Outs, not 17, because two of
the 8 straight outs are duplicated in the flush draw. Inside
straight-flush is 12 Outs, not 13, because one out is
duplicated in the flush draw.
On the Flop
SET or TRS: Trips = 8 outs potential, not 7.
3F2: 2-card 3-flush = 2 outs.
3F1: 1-card 3-flush boss card = 2 outs.
3S3: solid 3-way 3-straight = 1 out.
3S2: 1-gap 2-way 3-straight = 1 out.
3S1: 2-gap 1-way 3-straight = 1 out.
In close calls, a solid 3S3 is worth an extra half out more,
a single-gap 3S2 is 1, and a double-gap 3S1 is worth half an
out less.
Step 1) Count pot bets for outs needed to call;
Step 2) Count outs Call Overlays, Fold Underlays.
No Division! No Multiplication! No Subtraction!
Only Addition to master the Turmel2Step.
Do not use the Rule of Four. Always get full pot odds for
the very next card to balance times you are drawing dead.
Subtract implied bets only when drawing to the cinch.
Nothing ever really matters but: Call Overlays, Fold
Underlays.
Outs-Odds song (4/4 time)
Verses that may help you learn:
OUTS: Capital letters, ODDS: Numeric
To chase a flush with NINE outs needs a 4 bet pot to be,
A straight with EIGHT needs 5, a gut with FOUR needs 10 to see.
A SEVEN's 6 bets, SIX's 7, mirrored not alone,
A FIVE needs 8 bets, EIGHT needs 5 to mirror comfort zone.
An Overcard's THREE Outs need 14 bets keeping chase alive,
A Pair with TWO needs 22, a Quad's ONE, 45. CHAPTER 3
Counting bets in the pot
1-CARD FLUSH DRAWS
1-card 4-flush outs on the Turn
One hand in 15, you'll be on the Turn with a 1-card 4-flush
draw where the rank is very importants since outs degrade as
the card gets lower and number of opponents rises. Luckily,
there are only 6 different danger classes of 1-card draws to
be memorized for 1-5 opponents.
Power Ranks
#99(999) 0 overgap Gretzky always worth 9 outs
#88(776) 1 overgap
#87(655) 2 overgaps
#76(544) 3 overgaps or 6 undergaps
#75(432) 4 overgaps or 5 undergaps
5 overgaps or 4 undergaps
#64(321) 3 undergaps or 6 overgaps
2 undergaps
#53(211) 1 undergap
0 undergaps
For example, the last two draws (#53) for 0 and 1 undergaps
have 5 outs v. 1 opponent, 3 outs v. 2 opponents; 2 outs v.
3 opponents; 1 out v. 4 opponents; and 1 out v. 5 opponents.
Flush Ace threatening
If the flush Ace is not on board and still threatens, reduce
your draw ranking by 1.
1-card 4-flush outs on the Flop
A 1-card 4-flush on the flop occurs one time in 60 and is
treated the same way.
1-card 3-flush outs on the Flop
About one third of the time, you'll have to add 1 out for a
1-card 3-flush draw or 0 outs if it's the bottom five cards
against three or more opponents.
JCT: That's the Turmel2Step Holdem Outs-Odds System. The
"Turmel2Step Outs-Odds System Study Course & Exercise Book
of 12,000 draws" is at http:www.lulu.com/johnturmel
Table of Contents
Turmel2Step System ii
John "The Engineer" Turmel iv
Bonus: Board Threat Outs-Odds System v
Chapter 1: Winning in limit poker 1
Chapter 2: Fifteen Outs-Odds pairs 9
Chapter 3: Counting bets in the pot 13
Chapter 4: Basic Outs on the Turn 19
Chapter 5: Basic Outs on the Flop 34
Chapter 6: 1-card 4-flush Turn Outs 60
Chapter 7: 1-card 4-flush Flop Outs 86
Chapter 8: 1-card 3-flush Flop Outs 96
Appendix 1: 4115 Turn Outs problems 114
Appendix 2: 8750 Flop Outs problems 152
You do not need to buy the book to learn the system. You
have all you need to know how to turmel2step your way to
the overlay/underlay cut point that separates the winners
from the losers.
If you do want to know how it was engineered or want to do
the practice exercises prepared to cover all possible outs
combinations, then this is the only study course in outs-
odds counting from http:www.lulu.com/johnturmel
Stay tuned for some turmel2step exercises posted at
http://games.groups.yahoo.com/group/turmel2step
Turmel2Step Holdem Outs-Odds System is @ lulu
--
Abolitionist Slave Leader John C."The Banking Systems Engineer" Turmel
for UNILETS interest-free time-based currency in U.N. resolution C6
to Governments in the
http://www.un.org/millennium/declaration.htm
http://www.cyberclass.net/turmel 519-753-0645 USENET: can.politics