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Essay: Why You Should Bid with Marginal Hands (long)   Message List  
Reply | Forward Message #2281 of 13866 |
RE: [EuchreScience] Ordering the queen of clubs

Rob's messages on this subject have been extremely well-reasoned and thoughtful.  He has demonstrated, from several different perspectives, why ordering up the QC from the second chair is a poor decision.  It remains a poor decision.  Get over it.
 
Now comes the argument that the dealer needs "guidance" from his partner.  Unfortunately, there's no such thing in the game of euchre, at least within the rules.  There's no bidding, as there is in bridge, the conventions of which are designed to provide such guidance.  There's no signaling, either, although I'm quite confident it goes on amongst those that think "guidance" exists in euchre.
 
The second chair has no idea what's in his partner's hand (save the 5 cards he himself is holding).  He may do only one of two things: (1) end the decision process by ordering it up or (2) passing.  There is no mechanism for indicating the saliency of either option.  Should the dealer have the opportunity to call or pass, all he knows is that none of the other three have enough to call it.  Only a moron or a cheater would read more into his partner's pass than that.
 
And, as I pointed out previously, if the dealer is someone who would pick it up on the hands you indicated you would, there's absolutely no point in the second chair ordering it up since the only cases that would exist where the team wasn't playing the contract would be ones that either (a) are hopeless or (b) well-suited for defense, and thus an even greater reward than trying to eke out one point.
 
Natty, here's a freebee for your website.  Add the tagline, "Often wrong, but never in doubt."
 
 
 
-----Original Message-----
From: Natty Bumppo [mailto:borf@...]
Sent: Wednesday, April 16, 2003 21:30
To: EuchreScience@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [EuchreScience] Ordering the queen of clubs

Good point, Ron Brown.  You will
find the key to unlocking this
argument in "Example 6" of my
message No. 2260:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EuchreScience/message/2260

"Example 6:  Would you pick up if
the resulting hand would be left and
queen of clubs, jack of hearts, king
of spades and ace of diamonds?  Not
me:  I've got a 'euchre hand' even
without the queen of clubs.  Let
someone else call it -- e.g., my
partner (who already had the chance)."

When the dealer (your partner) has
a "euchre hand" -- or anything akin
thereto -- he needs guidance.  If
you have not given it to him, you have failed him.  Carpe diem.

And these "euchre hands" are not all that unusual.


P.S.  No, "bimbert84," I do not have to "try to be an ass."  It is
"easy to be hard" (recognize that line?  It's from a Broadway
musical).  I have noticed also, over the years, that it is easy to be
stupid.

Ref.:  http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EuchreScience/message/2266


P.S.S.  Statistics:  Messages by "bimbert84" out of last 60 on Euchre
Science = 24 = 40 per cent.  Are you TRYING for the T_Bolt
Overachievement Award?

Ref.:  http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EuchreScience/message/2224


Ron Brown wrote:

> this is a perfect example of a hand where you have to "think for
> your partner". because of the extremely high percentage of possible
> hands that your partner would pass, unless he knew what you had,
> which he doesn't, and that's where you come in (hopefully ;-) )
> remember:  he's going to need a pretty good hand to order up,
> because your not going to be much help to him (you passed, remember)
> and the chances of him having a good hand in clubs aren't very good
> because the right and king are gone . . . .






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Thu Apr 17, 2003 4:49 am

IKnowURider
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Forward
Message #2281 of 13866 |
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Good point, Ron Brown. You will find the key to unlocking this argument in "Example 6" of my message No. 2260: ...
Natty Bumppo
nathaniel_j_...
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Apr 17, 2003
2:29 am

Rob's messages on this subject have been extremely well-reasoned and thoughtful. He has demonstrated, from several different perspectives, why ordering up the...
Jed Taylor
IKnowURider
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Apr 17, 2003
4:49 am

Hi Jed, ... I agree completely. And what do you, as 2nd chair, know when it's your turn to call? Only this: 1) The score is 2-2; 2) You hold 5 cards, namely...
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
11:00 am

... Yes, Rob has presented a lot of reasoning as to why he believes this is a bad call. But, does calling it remain a poor decision? I respect his opinions...
TudoBem970@...
dwend_98
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Apr 17, 2003
10:37 am

Hi Dwend, ... Thank you for being courteous in your disagreement (as most others have been). -- Rob...
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
11:10 am

Hi Ron, ... Just curious, what types of hands would you say your P would pass on his own, yet coupled with your hand would be enough to score? I'm a little...
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
11:23 am

Hi Rob, ... I think this may be at the heart of the disagreement, at least for me. The average success rate of a strategy is more important later in the game...
Gerry Blue
gblue42
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Apr 17, 2003
2:29 pm

Hi Gerry, ... I couldn't disgree more. Early in the game is when "the long run" applies most. It's near the end where you may have to go against the odds...
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
3:22 pm

... Then we agree that this may be where the disagreement lies. I think we'll agree to disagree. ... That's analogous to going alone with a marginal hand when...
Gerry Blue
gblue42
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Apr 17, 2003
4:34 pm

... At least we agree on something. ;) -- Rob...
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
7:10 pm

Hi Ace, ... Yeah, I know, bad analogy. My point was that in the long-run, playing with the odds will net you more than low-percentage high- paying risks will....
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
7:19 pm

Ooops. That sould read "I would not order the Queen late in the game" and while I have the opportunity to modify my message, I should further qualify the...
Gerry Blue
gblue42
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Apr 17, 2003
3:23 pm

... I had assumed that's what you meant. -- Rob...
bimbert84
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Apr 17, 2003
4:04 pm

OK, this is my last post on this issue: I took out a deck, gave myself the JKc, Qh, Qd, 9s, and put aside the Qc, then dealt 3 hands to to the remaining...
Ron Brown
gregariousin...
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Apr 17, 2003
11:32 pm

In case you weren't already aware, you can do pretty much the same thing by clicking here. It doesn't have the same kind of touchy-feely effect as what you...
Gerry Blue
gblue42
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Apr 18, 2003
2:32 am

... Do you Yahoo!? The New Yahoo! Search - Faster. Easier. Bingo....
Ron Brown
gregariousin...
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Apr 18, 2003
12:26 pm

Yeah, we've talked about that and I just haven't finished the mental design phase quite yet. I'm trying to decide between 2 possible approaches. If all we...
Gerry Blue
gblue42
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Apr 18, 2003
2:42 pm

OK, this is my last post on this issue: I took out a deck, gave myself the JKc, Qh, Qd, 9s, and put aside the Qc, then dealt 3 hands to to the remaining...
Ron Brown
gregariousin...
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Apr 17, 2003
11:33 pm

Ron, I agree with you and Natty 100%. This was a no-brainer and not worth all this discussion. I'd order the queen up w/o hesitation. One of those hands which...
Patricia
wdfover50
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Apr 17, 2003
1:47 pm

A couple notes on your essay. 1) While I understand what you're trying to accomplish mathematically by saying points scored by the opposition on our call are...
Jed Taylor
IKnowURider
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Apr 13, 2003
9:03 pm

Jed, Thanks for the thoughtful reply. Regarding the first point, you may be right that the other team getting points is NOT exactly like us getting negative...
Ryan Romanik
rmromanik
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Apr 13, 2003
9:24 pm

Hi Jed, ... I think that's what he meant when he talked about "in the long run." Certainly the score influences decisions, especially as one or both sides...
bimbert84
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Apr 14, 2003
11:49 am

Hi Ryan, A well-written essay, and I agree with everything you said. -- Rob...
bimbert84
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Apr 14, 2003
11:26 am

Hi Ace, ... You have a protected L in spades, so your only worry for an opponent's march is across in red. -- Rob...
bimbert84
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Apr 14, 2003
11:54 am

... Sure you can: call hearts and count on your P for 3. ;) -- Rob...
bimbert84
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Apr 14, 2003
6:50 pm

... No, because there's no way of knowing. Am I suggesting an alternative strategy would've been more likely to fail? Absolutely. I've seen too many Masters...
bimbert84
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Apr 14, 2003
6:59 pm

If we exclude donating from the analysis (to keep it simple), I don't understand why you conclude that a call can be correct if in the long run it doesn't...
Jed Taylor
IKnowURider
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Apr 14, 2003
8:17 pm

It's not enough to simply identify the 5 possible scoring scenarios and then say you want to take an action that eliminates the worst one. You must also ...
Jed Taylor
IKnowURider
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Apr 14, 2003
8:31 pm

... Not a good one, though, considering I'm holding Jc and 9s. ;) By ordering the Qc, the only loner in next you'll be stopping is one in your P's hand. Also,...
bimbert84
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Apr 15, 2003
10:51 am

... You are mistaken. See Kerry Cutler's post at http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EuchreScience/message/2181 See also mine at ...
Natty Bumppo
nathaniel_j_...
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Apr 15, 2003
11:18 am
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